Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionNENa enjoyersloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DDdai dream teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Na enjoyers
No games played over 6 months.
dai dream team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
265 picks · 344 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 389 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 589 bans
Lion
226 picks · 104 bans
Void Spirit
224 picks · 251 bans
Lina
220 picks · 462 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 270 bans
Bane
216 picks · 144 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Na enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Na enjoyers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNa enjoyers · 50%
Series resultdai dream team 0:2
Series predictionmissed