Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MHMental Health Mattersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
Mental Health Matters
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
265 picks · 344 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 389 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 589 bans
Lion
226 picks · 104 bans
Void Spirit
224 picks · 251 bans
Lina
220 picks · 462 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 270 bans
Bane
216 picks · 144 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 56%
Series resultKBU.US 2:0
Series predictioncorrect