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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — ЮВА · BO1
result vs prediction
Ragdollwin 1:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ragdoll

No games played over 6 months.

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
100%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
264 picks · 332 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
260 picks · 383 bans
48%
Monkey King
Monkey King
247 picks · 575 bans
61%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
225 picks · 251 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
224 picks · 103 bans
52%
Lina
Lina
221 picks · 456 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
217 picks · 270 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
213 picks · 137 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 30%
Hero pool strength52% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Ragdoll
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRagdoll · 59%
Series resultRagdoll 1:0
Series predictioncorrect