?
Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Euronics Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Slot Seekerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Euronics Gaming

Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Mo13ei · 1 game
100%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Focus · 1 game
100%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Qupe · 1 game
100%

Slot Seekers

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
ntakii · 1 game
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
100%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
ZipZaper · 1 game
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Flash · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
264 picks · 322 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
260 picks · 375 bans
48%
Monkey King
Monkey King
248 picks · 566 bans
61%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
228 picks · 248 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
225 picks · 102 bans
52%
Lina
Lina
220 picks · 454 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
213 picks · 270 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
211 picks · 133 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Euronics Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Slot Seekers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:27
Euronics Gaming 50%Slot Seekers 50%
The model gave 50% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Euronics Gaming in 36:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinFocus
48% · 73 games48% · 64 games
MedusaCoblackk
Medusa
Tiny
TinyMo13ei
55% · 175 games44% · 109 games
Puckntakii
Puck
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerQupe
48% · 32 games51% · 80 games
PangolierZipZaper
Pangolier
54% · 27 games
BaneFlash
Bane
Game 2prediction correct21:39
Euronics Gaming 47%Slot Seekers 53%
The model gave 53% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 34:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinFocus
41% · 75 games54% · 76 games
BloodseekerCoblackk
Bloodseeker
Timbersaw
TimbersawMo13ei
51% · 120 games53% · 39 games
Windrangerntakii
Windranger
Rubick
RubickQupe
51% · 114 games44% · 167 games
MarsZipZaper
Mars
59% · 27 games
Ogre MagiFlash
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction correct30:33
Euronics Gaming 48%Slot Seekers 52%
The model gave 52% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 36:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaFocus
50% · 66 games44% · 84 games
LunaCoblackk
Luna
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMo13ei
48% · 130 games53% · 107 games
Ember Spiritntakii
Ember Spirit
Mirana
MiranaQupe
46% · 153 games54% · 122 games
PangolierZipZaper
Pangolier
58% · 36 games
Ogre MagiFlash
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteSlot Seekers · 53%
Series resultSlot Seekers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3