Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMloss 0:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Slot Seekerswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KZ TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Slot Seekers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
262 picks · 321 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 374 bans
Monkey King
247 picks · 563 bans
Void Spirit
228 picks · 247 bans
Lion
225 picks · 102 bans
Lina
220 picks · 452 bans
Pangolier
213 picks · 268 bans
Bane
211 picks · 131 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:41
KZ TEAM 58%Slot Seekers 42%
The model gave 58% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 28:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 58%
Series resultSlot Seekers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1