Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 27 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Shachlo · 17 games
Linasignature
kiyotaka · 15 games
Miranasignature
sayuw · 14 games
Enchantresssignature
VANSKOR · 13 games
Lunasignature
Smiling Knight · 13 games
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
260 picks · 318 bans
Tidehunter
257 picks · 374 bans
Monkey King
243 picks · 552 bans
Void Spirit
226 picks · 245 bans
Lion
224 picks · 107 bans
Lina
220 picks · 457 bans
Pangolier
213 picks · 280 bans
Tiny
209 picks · 277 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 37%
Hero pool strength57% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total70% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:46
HellRaisers 70%Team Empire 30%
The model gave 70% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Team Empire in 36:57.
Game 2prediction missed16:44
HellRaisers 70%Team Empire 30%
The model gave 70% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Team Empire in 35:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 70%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2