BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO5
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 3:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 3:1
4 Zoomersloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 15 games
Phoenix
Mjz · 8 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 7 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Mnz · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 4 games
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 4 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
260 picks · 378 bans
Mars
259 picks · 321 bans
Monkey King
243 picks · 547 bans
Lion
228 picks · 113 bans
Void Spirit
227 picks · 246 bans
Lina
224 picks · 460 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 284 bans
Tiny
209 picks · 278 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 45%
Hero pool strength60% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 60%
Series resultThunder Awaken 3:1
Series predictioncorrect