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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 17 games
76%
Lion
Lionsignature
Khezcute · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
69%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 13 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 13 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 12 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
73%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 28 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Q · 13 games
54%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 12 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 11 games
73%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
258 picks · 318 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
256 picks · 381 bans
50%
Monkey King
Monkey King
242 picks · 530 bans
61%
Lion
Lion
228 picks · 118 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
224 picks · 468 bans
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
223 picks · 244 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
220 picks · 286 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
209 picks · 280 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total62% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:19
BOOM Esports 56%Motivate.Trust Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerMushi
53% · 52 games47% · 138 games
LunaJaCkky
Luna
Snapfire
SnapfireYopaj
50% · 117 games54% · 124 games
Ember SpiritFearless
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterFbz
48% · 167 games49% · 110 games
DisruptorQ
Disruptor
Dark Willow
Dark WillowTims
56% · 64 games44% · 103 games
Ioboombell
Io
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSkem
50% · 75 games
Game 2prediction correct33:16
BOOM Esports 57%Motivate.Trust Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMushi
55% · 94 games49% · 141 game
Wraith KingJaCkky
Wraith King
Snapfire
SnapfireYopaj
41% · 96 games52% · 154 games
Ember SpiritFearless
Ember Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KingFbz
55% · 138 games53% · 212 games
MiranaQ
Mirana
Enchantress
EnchantressTims
47% · 156 games45% · 65 games
Crystal Maidenboombell
Crystal Maiden
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSkem
52% · 88 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 62%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2