?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Poloson · 10 games
40%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 23 games
65%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 22 games
64%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 21 game
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Unknown- · 16 games
56%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 16 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
xiaoyu154 · 15 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 15 games
53%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 14 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
256 picks · 315 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
253 picks · 382 bans
51%
Monkey King
Monkey King
239 picks · 525 bans
62%
Lion
Lion
228 picks · 122 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
225 picks · 464 bans
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
221 picks · 243 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
219 picks · 287 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
210 picks · 280 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total63% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:44
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Neon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 38:32.
Game 2prediction missed38:19
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Neon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 41:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 63%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2