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BLAST Slam VIII · BO5
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 3:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Team Spiritloss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Malady · 23 games
91%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 19 games
74%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 18 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Saksa · 14 games
86%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Malady · 14 games
64%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 35 games
51%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 23 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 21 game
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 19 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
not me · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 15 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
not me · 14 games
71%
Techies
Techies
not me · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 314 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
436 picks · 218 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
391 picks · 176 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
339 picks · 307 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 493 bans
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
298 picks · 284 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 503 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 130 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 68%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head9 – 4
Model total59% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Yandex 59%Team Spirit 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Spirit.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Yandex 59%Team Spirit 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex.
Game 3prediction correct
Team Yandex 59%Team Spirit 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex.
Game 4prediction correct
Team Yandex 59%Team Spirit 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 59%
Series resultTeam Yandex 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4