BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Michael · 7 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 6 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
258 picks · 311 bans
Tidehunter
253 picks · 380 bans
Monkey King
240 picks · 524 bans
Lion
227 picks · 124 bans
Lina
226 picks · 465 bans
Void Spirit
222 picks · 243 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 285 bans
Tiny
209 picks · 279 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total51% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:17
Infamous 49%4 Zoomers 51%
The model gave 51% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 38:01.
Game 2prediction correct15:38
Infamous 49%4 Zoomers 51%
The model gave 51% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 45:14.
Game 3prediction correct21:10
Infamous 49%4 Zoomers 51%
The model gave 51% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 26:49.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 51%
Series result4 Zoomers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3