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BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Eternityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

D2 Hustlers

No games played over 6 months.

Eternity

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Boris · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 4 games
25%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 4 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
YamSun · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
Jubei · 3 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jubei · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
254 picks · 313 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
254 picks · 377 bans
51%
Monkey King
Monkey King
239 picks · 515 bans
62%
Lion
Lion
228 picks · 127 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
227 picks · 470 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
218 picks · 285 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
218 picks · 240 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
210 picks · 282 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 19%
Hero pool strength52% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total64% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:17
D2 Hustlers 64%Eternity 36%
The model gave 64% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Eternity in 23:42.
Game 2prediction missed36:23
D2 Hustlers 64%Eternity 36%
The model gave 64% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Eternity in 38:16.
Game 3prediction missed14:36
D2 Hustlers 64%Eternity 36%
The model gave 64% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Eternity in 32:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 64%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3