BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
simply TOOBASEDloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
254 picks · 374 bans
Mars
253 picks · 311 bans
Monkey King
238 picks · 513 bans
Lina
227 picks · 469 bans
Lion
227 picks · 125 bans
Pangolier
217 picks · 284 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 240 bans
Tiny
209 picks · 282 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 25%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total76% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:37
Hokori 76%simply TOOBASED 24%
The model gave 76% on Hokori — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 35:54.
Game 2prediction missed53:56
Hokori 76%simply TOOBASED 24%
The model gave 76% on Hokori — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 56:08.
Game 3prediction missed20:27
Hokori 76%simply TOOBASED 24%
The model gave 76% on Hokori — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 32:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 76%
Series resultHokori 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3