BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XXxXxXXxwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
XxXxXXx
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 3 games
Iooften banned
MoOz · 2 games
Silenceroften banned
MoOz · 2 games
Snapfire
MoOz · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Bane
Mjz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
262 picks · 325 bans
Tidehunter
251 picks · 380 bans
Lion
238 picks · 136 bans
Lina
233 picks · 494 bans
Monkey King
232 picks · 511 bans
Pangolier
222 picks · 298 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 252 bans
Tiny
211 picks · 287 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% XxXxXXx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% XxXxXXx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteXxXxXXx · 69%
Series resultXxXxXXx 0:2
Series predictioncorrect