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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 13 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 11 games
36%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 9 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Lym- · 9 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 9 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
29%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 23 games
78%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Q · 12 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
80%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
262 picks · 336 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
251 picks · 142 bans
53%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
250 picks · 384 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
239 picks · 504 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
229 picks · 505 bans
62%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 313 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
216 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 58%
Hero pool strength65% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total84% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:20
Army Geniuses 27%Motivate.Trust Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 43:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightAzur4
46% · 209 games50% · 70 games
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
Phantom Assassin
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddb-
46% · 91 game53% · 323 games
PuckFearless
Puck
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderwoMy
48% · 58 games58% · 43 games
UndyingQ
Undying
Snapfire
SnapfireLym-
50% · 175 games52% · 323 games
Lionboombell
Lion
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeVarizh
46% · 226 games
Game 2prediction correct18:27
Army Geniuses 27%Motivate.Trust Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 35:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedb-
50% · 115 games51% · 136 games
MedusaJaCkky
Medusa
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAzur4
46% · 218 games53% · 216 games
Death ProphetFearless
Death Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierwoMy
45% · 163 games55% · 171 game
Monkey KingQ
Monkey King
Undying
UndyingVarizh
44% · 48 games55% · 134 games
Shadow Demonboombell
Shadow Demon
Snapfire
SnapfireLym-
46% · 113 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 84%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2