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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 17 games
76%
Lion
Lionsignature
Khezcute · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 13 games
62%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 12 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
73%
Io
Iosignature
Skem · 11 games
73%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
73%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
262 picks · 340 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
254 picks · 145 bans
53%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
251 picks · 389 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
241 picks · 509 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
228 picks · 502 bans
62%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 314 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
218 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
214 picks · 253 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total62% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:19
BOOM Esports 62%Nigma Galaxy SEA 38%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:52.
Game 2prediction missed11:31
BOOM Esports 62%Nigma Galaxy SEA 38%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 24:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2