BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eternityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Eternity
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 6 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 4 games
Lion
Boris · 4 games
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Clockwerk
Jubei · 3 games
Lunaoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
260 picks · 341 bans
Lion
254 picks · 145 bans
Tidehunter
249 picks · 387 bans
Lina
240 picks · 506 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 498 bans
Pangolier
224 picks · 314 bans
Tiny
218 picks · 292 bans
Void Spirit
214 picks · 251 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 21%
Hero pool strength52% Eternity
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:6
D2 Hustlers 60%Eternity 40%
The model gave 60% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Eternity in 15:39.
Game 2prediction missed16:38
D2 Hustlers 60%Eternity 40%
The model gave 60% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Eternity in 32:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 60%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2