?
BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 17 games
76%
Lion
Lionsignature
Khezcute · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 13 games
62%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Khezcute · 12 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
73%
Io
Iosignature
Skem · 11 games
73%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 23 games
78%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Q · 12 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
80%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
260 picks · 147 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
259 picks · 346 bans
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
251 picks · 385 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
244 picks · 511 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
227 picks · 494 bans
62%
Pangolier
Pangolier
225 picks · 320 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
222 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total57% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 57%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect