BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 6 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 4 games
Lion
Boris · 4 games
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Jubei · 3 games
Lunaoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
262 picks · 147 bans
Mars
259 picks · 346 bans
Tidehunter
252 picks · 385 bans
Lina
244 picks · 511 bans
Monkey King
227 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
225 picks · 320 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 292 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 25%
Hero pool strength52% Eternity
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total55% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 55%