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BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Eternityloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Thunder Awaken

Mars
Marsoften banned
Frank · 14 games
21%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 8 games
13%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mjz · 5 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 4 games
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Frank · 4 games
25%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
25%

Eternity

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 6 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 6 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 4 games
75%
Lion
Lion
Boris · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Jubei · 3 games
100%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
262 picks · 147 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
259 picks · 346 bans
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
252 picks · 385 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
244 picks · 511 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
227 picks · 494 bans
62%
Pangolier
Pangolier
225 picks · 320 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
222 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 24%
Hero pool strength65% Eternity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Eternity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternity · 54%