BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
Ksh · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
265 picks · 148 bans
Mars
262 picks · 351 bans
Tidehunter
251 picks · 388 bans
Lina
249 picks · 512 bans
Pangolier
228 picks · 324 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 494 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 293 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 22%
Hero pool strength62% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total82% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed53:28
Nigma Galaxy SEA 82%Yangon Galacticos 18%
The model gave 82% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 48:52.
Game 2prediction missed27:31
Nigma Galaxy SEA 82%Yangon Galacticos 18%
The model gave 82% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 50:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 82%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2