BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Hokoriloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
267 picks · 148 bans
Mars
264 picks · 349 bans
Tidehunter
252 picks · 387 bans
Lina
250 picks · 511 bans
Pangolier
228 picks · 327 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 489 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 294 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 35%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:41
D2 Hustlers 49%Hokori 51%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 23:34.
Game 2prediction correct22:41
D2 Hustlers 49%Hokori 51%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 41:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2