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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
73%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%

Army Geniuses

Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 13 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 12 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 9 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 9 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Lym- · 8 games
25%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
29%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
267 picks · 148 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
263 picks · 351 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
253 picks · 511 bans
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
252 picks · 388 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
229 picks · 328 bans
49%
Monkey King
Monkey King
224 picks · 487 bans
61%
Tiny
Tiny
222 picks · 294 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
216 picks · 229 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 19%
Hero pool strength66% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total73% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:9
Nigma Galaxy SEA 73%Army Geniuses 27%
The model gave 73% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 34:33.
Game 2prediction missed40:39
Nigma Galaxy SEA 73%Army Geniuses 27%
The model gave 73% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 1:07:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 73%
Accuracy by game0 of 2