BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Hokoriloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
272 picks · 150 bans
Mars
262 picks · 345 bans
Lina
255 picks · 511 bans
Tidehunter
251 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
230 picks · 329 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 479 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 296 bans
Shadow Demon
219 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 39%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total59% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:36
4 Zoomers 59%Hokori 41%
The model gave 59% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Hokori in 48:32.
Game 2prediction correct29:26
4 Zoomers 59%Hokori 41%
The model gave 59% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 40:03.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2