BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lion
cml · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mac · 5 games
Mirana
Boomy · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Boomy · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
277 picks · 153 bans
Mars
261 picks · 349 bans
Lina
254 picks · 514 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
232 picks · 331 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 297 bans
Shadow Demon
221 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 19%
Hero pool strength53% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 73%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed