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BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4 Zoomers

No games played over 6 months.

simply TOOBASED

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
280 picks · 153 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
262 picks · 352 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
254 picks · 516 bans
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
233 picks · 331 bans
49%
Monkey King
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
62%
Tiny
Tiny
222 picks · 298 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
221 picks · 234 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total79% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 79%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect