BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenloss 1:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 13 games
Phoenix
Mjz · 8 games
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 4 games
Elder Titan
MoOz · 4 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
280 picks · 153 bans
Mars
262 picks · 352 bans
Lina
254 picks · 516 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
233 picks · 331 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 298 bans
Shadow Demon
221 picks · 234 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 32%
Hero pool strength63% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 59%