BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 16 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 11 games
Linasignature
Bob · 11 games
Treant Protector
RR · 11 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lionsignature
Q · 24 games
Clockwerksignature
Q · 13 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
282 picks · 155 bans
Mars
266 picks · 355 bans
Lina
257 picks · 520 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 335 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Shadow Demon
225 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
224 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total70% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 70%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect