BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
simply TOOBASEDloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
282 picks · 155 bans
Mars
266 picks · 355 bans
Lina
257 picks · 520 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 335 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Shadow Demon
225 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
224 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total50% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 50%