BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hokoriloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 6 games
Tinyoften banned
Lumière · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
286 picks · 160 bans
Mars
269 picks · 367 bans
Lina
261 picks · 533 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 390 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 342 bans
Shadow Demon
231 picks · 242 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 474 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 36%
Hero pool strength55% Hokori
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total55% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:23
Infamous 55%Hokori 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 36:56.
Game 2prediction correct23:3
Infamous 55%Hokori 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 26:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 55%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2