BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Arkosh Gaming
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Enchantress
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Lion
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Slarkoften banned
mason · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
286 picks · 160 bans
Mars
269 picks · 364 bans
Lina
261 picks · 532 bans
Tidehunter
245 picks · 390 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 342 bans
Shadow Demon
231 picks · 242 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 296 bans
Monkey King
224 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Arkosh Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:8
4 Zoomers 70%Arkosh Gaming 30%
The model gave 70% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 26:40.
Game 2prediction correct35:16
4 Zoomers 70%Arkosh Gaming 30%
The model gave 70% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 39:35.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 70%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2