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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
25%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 25 games
76%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
77%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
80%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
50%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 10 games
60%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
286 picks · 160 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
269 picks · 367 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
263 picks · 534 bans
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
245 picks · 391 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 345 bans
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
233 picks · 244 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
225 picks · 296 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
224 picks · 473 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 46%
Hero pool strength62% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 83%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect