The International 10 (2021) · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pangoliersignature
Xiao8 · 25 games
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 25 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 23 games
Leshracsignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
Enchantresssignature
y` · 19 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 19 games
Magnussignature
NothingToSay · 18 games
Sand Kingsignature
Faith_bian · 17 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
300 picks · 180 bans
Mars
287 picks · 399 bans
Lina
278 picks · 560 bans
Pangolier
260 picks · 370 bans
Shadow Demon
248 picks · 255 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 405 bans
Hoodwink
242 picks · 88 bans
Void Spirit
224 picks · 254 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 26%
Hero pool strength65% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total91% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:16
LGD Gaming 91%beastcoast 9%
The model gave 91% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 32:22.
Game 2prediction correct30:10
LGD Gaming 91%beastcoast 9%
The model gave 91% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 91%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2