The International 10 (2021) · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fnaticloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pangoliersignature
Xiao8 · 25 games
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 24 games
Leshracsignature
NothingToSay · 20 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 19 games
Enchantresssignature
y` · 18 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 17 games
Sand Kingsignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
Axesignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
301 picks · 176 bans
Lina
284 picks · 536 bans
Mars
283 picks · 400 bans
Hoodwink
260 picks · 89 bans
Pangolier
258 picks · 374 bans
Shadow Demon
245 picks · 260 bans
Luna
226 picks · 324 bans
Tidehunter
224 picks · 379 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 43%
Hero pool strength64% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:28
LGD Gaming 89%Fnatic 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 47:49.
Game 2prediction correct28:24
LGD Gaming 89%Fnatic 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 41:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 89%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2