BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
D2 Hustlersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 7 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 5 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
349 picks · 176 bans
Hoodwink
289 picks · 105 bans
Mars
267 picks · 407 bans
Pangolier
259 picks · 352 bans
Lina
257 picks · 515 bans
Luna
234 picks · 329 bans
Shadow Demon
227 picks · 236 bans
Nyx Assassin
222 picks · 470 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 37%
Hero pool strength55% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:18
Infamous 50%D2 Hustlers 50%
The model gave 50% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Infamous in 31:17.
Game 2prediction missed42:17
Infamous 50%D2 Hustlers 50%
The model gave 50% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Infamous in 28:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 50%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2