IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Францияloss 1:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Бельгияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Франция
No games played over 6 months.
Бельгия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
352 picks · 176 bans
Hoodwink
299 picks · 109 bans
Lina
262 picks · 506 bans
Mars
260 picks · 417 bans
Pangolier
255 picks · 349 bans
Luna
240 picks · 332 bans
Shadow Demon
225 picks · 236 bans
Nyx Assassin
223 picks · 475 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Франция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Франция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteФранция · 52%
Series resultБельгия 1:2
Series predictionmissed