IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Венгрияwin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Италияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Венгрия
No games played over 6 months.
Италия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
365 picks · 178 bans
Hoodwink
323 picks · 118 bans
Lina
272 picks · 504 bans
Mars
267 picks · 431 bans
Pangolier
253 picks · 347 bans
Luna
251 picks · 341 bans
Nyx Assassin
233 picks · 504 bans
Shadow Demon
229 picks · 242 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Венгрия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Италия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteИталия · 55%
Series resultВенгрия 2:0
Series predictionmissed