BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
D2 Hustlersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 31 game
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 25 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 24 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 21 game
Hoodwink
Matthew · 18 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 18 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 17 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
369 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 121 bans
Lina
274 picks · 506 bans
Mars
263 picks · 435 bans
Luna
255 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
254 picks · 341 bans
Nyx Assassin
239 picks · 512 bans
Terrorblade
231 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 31%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:27
NoPing VPN 72%D2 Hustlers 28%
The model gave 72% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 30:22.
Game 2prediction missed22:32
NoPing VPN 72%D2 Hustlers 28%
The model gave 72% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 48:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 72%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2