IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Туркменистанloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Узбекистанwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Туркменистан
No games played over 6 months.
Узбекистан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 177 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 121 bans
Lina
271 picks · 500 bans
Mars
260 picks · 433 bans
Luna
254 picks · 341 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 337 bans
Nyx Assassin
242 picks · 513 bans
Terrorblade
233 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Туркменистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Узбекистан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteУзбекистан · 64%
Series resultУзбекистан 0:2
Series predictioncorrect