IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Арменияloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Беларусьwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Армения
No games played over 6 months.
Беларусь
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
364 picks · 177 bans
Hoodwink
332 picks · 121 bans
Lina
273 picks · 495 bans
Mars
257 picks · 429 bans
Luna
253 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 335 bans
Nyx Assassin
246 picks · 515 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Армения
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Армения
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteАрмения · 51%
Series resultБеларусь 0:2
Series predictionmissed