BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Hokoriloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
335 picks · 121 bans
Lina
269 picks · 495 bans
Luna
250 picks · 342 bans
Mars
249 picks · 423 bans
Nyx Assassin
247 picks · 522 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 320 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% Hokori
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total54% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:32
Infamous 46%Hokori 54%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 33:12.
Game 2prediction missed46:17
Infamous 46%Hokori 54%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 33:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2