BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yor · 4 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
335 picks · 121 bans
Lina
269 picks · 495 bans
Luna
250 picks · 341 bans
Mars
249 picks · 422 bans
Nyx Assassin
247 picks · 521 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 320 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:24
Infamous 55%D2 Hustlers 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 41:59.
Game 2prediction missed
Infamous 55%D2 Hustlers 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2