BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 1:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 1:0
44Gringosloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 30 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 23 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 22 games
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 20 games
Hoodwink
Michael · 18 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 18 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
4Gringos
Brewmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 4 games
Svenoften banned
dnm · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Giant · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Giant · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Earth Spirit
Giant · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
dnm · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
335 picks · 121 bans
Lina
269 picks · 495 bans
Luna
250 picks · 341 bans
Mars
248 picks · 422 bans
Nyx Assassin
247 picks · 521 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 320 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength59% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
NoPing VPN 71%4Gringos 29%
The model gave 71% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 37:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterPakazs
Medusadnm
MarsDarkMago
TidehunterValquiria
VenomancerOscar
Keeper of the LightGiant
Tinysl4d1n-
AbaddonPanda
Game 2prediction correct46:15
NoPing VPN 73%4Gringos 27%
The model gave 73% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 29:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaDarkMago
Morphlingdnm
Ember SpiritPakazs
LeshracValquiria
Dark SeerOscar
EarthshakerGiant
Clockwerksl4d1n-
BanePanda
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 85%
Series resultNoPing VPN 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2