?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eternityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoPing VPN

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 28 games
79%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 23 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 22 games
68%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 20 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 18 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 17 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
63%

Eternity

Lion
Lion
YamSun · 9 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 9 games
56%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 7 games
57%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 6 games
50%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Jubei · 3 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
340 picks · 122 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
268 picks · 482 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
250 picks · 340 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
250 picks · 526 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
249 picks · 413 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
241 picks · 311 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
232 picks · 487 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 36%
Hero pool strength55% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct68:33
NoPing VPN 73%Eternity 27%
The model gave 73% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider
BatriderDarkMago
48% · 35 games46% · 96 games
MorphlingYamSun
Morphling
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPakazs
61% · 60 games51% · 86 games
SnapfireBoris
Snapfire
Sand King
Sand KingOscar
55% · 33 games42% · 35 games
Night StalkerJubei
Night Stalker
Windranger
Windrangersl4d1n-
45% · 15 games
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPanda
50% · 74 games
Game 2prediction correct35:13
NoPing VPN 72%Eternity 28%
The model gave 72% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 23:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPakazs
33% · 32 games61% · 61 game
RazorYamSun
Razor
Alchemist
AlchemistDarkMago
36% · 10 gameslittle data
PudgeBoris
Pudge
Tidehunter
TidehunterOscar
50% · 40 games47% · 39 games
Night StalkerJubei
Night Stalker
Windranger
Windrangersl4d1n-
52% · 9 games
Bane
BanePanda
62% · 9 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 86%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2