BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionFJFúria Jovemloss 0:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:0
Infamousloss 0:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fúria Jovem
Leshracoften banned
Sooths · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
RdO · 3 games
Mirana
RdO · 3 games
Shadow Demon
Duster · 3 games
Windranger
Sooths · 3 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Mandy · 2 games
Infamous
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yor · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
340 picks · 122 bans
Lina
268 picks · 482 bans
Luna
250 picks · 340 bans
Nyx Assassin
250 picks · 526 bans
Mars
248 picks · 413 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 311 bans
Terrorblade
232 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength62% Fúria Jovem
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:51
Fúria Jovem 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on Fúria Jovem — the game was taken by Infamous in 36:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerMandy
Monkey KingLumière
Keeper of the LightKingrd
WeaverSacred
DawnbreakerDuster
Earth SpiritMichael
66% · 33 games
Ancient ApparitionAccel
Game 2prediction missed16:55
Fúria Jovem 51%Infamous 49%
The model gave 51% on Fúria Jovem — the game was taken by Infamous in 26:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MiranaKingrd
MarsSacred
Ember SpiritMandy
Monkey KingLumière
GrimstrokeDuster
GyrocopterAccel
52% · 91 game
Keeper of the LightMichael
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2