BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
44Gringosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yor · 4 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
PiPi · 4 games
4Gringos
Brewmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Giant · 2 games
Svenoften banned
dnm · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Earth Spirit
Giant · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
dnm · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Giant · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
340 picks · 122 bans
Lina
268 picks · 482 bans
Luna
250 picks · 340 bans
Nyx Assassin
250 picks · 524 bans
Mars
247 picks · 412 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 311 bans
Terrorblade
231 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 36%
Hero pool strength56% 4Gringos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:18
Infamous 59%4Gringos 41%
The model gave 59% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeLumière
Svendnm
BloodseekerSacred
BrewmasterValquiria
WindrangerMichael
Shadow DemonGiant
BaneAccel
Game 2prediction correct46:17
Infamous 61%4Gringos 39%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 26:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarsSacred
Spectrednm
TinyLumière
Night StalkerValquiria
Keeper of the LightMichael
Monkey KingGiant
GrimstrokeAccel
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 71%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2