IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Турцияwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Румынияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 174 bans
Hoodwink
341 picks · 122 bans
Lina
268 picks · 483 bans
Nyx Assassin
253 picks · 525 bans
Luna
251 picks · 342 bans
Mars
247 picks · 414 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 311 bans
Terrorblade
231 picks · 488 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Турция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Турция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:15
Турция 64%Румыния 36%
The model gave 64% on Турция — the game was taken by Турция in 38:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteТурция · 64%
Series resultТурция 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1