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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 29 games
62%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 28 games
61%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
52%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 20 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Deth · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
60%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 176 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
342 picks · 122 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
268 picks · 483 bans
53%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
255 picks · 526 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
251 picks · 345 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
248 picks · 415 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
240 picks · 311 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
232 picks · 488 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 27%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:46
Neon Esports 59%Yangon Galacticos 41%
The model gave 59% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 1:00:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautUnknown-
56% · 30 games41% · 15 games
ClinkzKsh
Clinkz
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMikoto
50% · 35 games54% · 124 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark Seerxiaoyu154
35% · 13 games
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerNARMAN
36% · 7 games
Lion
LionJaunuel
53% · 54 games
Game 2prediction correct40:13
Neon Esports 57%Yangon Galacticos 43%
The model gave 57% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 25:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterUnknown-
45% · 42 games56% · 141 game
Templar AssassinYoung PH
Templar Assassin
Invoker
InvokerMikoto
43% · 57 games57% · 251 game
PangolierKsh
Pangolier
Tidehunter
Tidehunterxiaoyu154
43% · 64 games
Lion
LionNARMAN
44% · 115 games
Mars
MarsJaunuel
41% · 114 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 65%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2