IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Филиппиныloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Таиландwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
375 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 122 bans
Lina
269 picks · 481 bans
Nyx Assassin
258 picks · 527 bans
Luna
254 picks · 346 bans
Mars
248 picks · 414 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 311 bans
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 326 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Филиппины
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Таиланд
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteТаиланд · 55%
Series resultТаиланд 0:2
Series predictioncorrect