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OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Omega Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
iG Vitalityloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Omega Esports

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 10 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
78%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
cml · 8 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 7 games
29%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 7 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 6 games
50%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Sam_H · 5 games
60%

iG Vitality

Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
33%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
0%
Windranger
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
ukiyo · 1 game
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
344 picks · 122 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
267 picks · 477 bans
53%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
258 picks · 526 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 345 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
246 picks · 414 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
239 picks · 307 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
233 picks · 325 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)15% vs 20%
Hero pool strength55% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:45
Omega Esports 48%iG Vitality 52%
The model gave 52% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 46:33.
Game 2prediction missed53:19
Omega Esports 48%iG Vitality 52%
The model gave 52% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 32:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2